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Dialog "How Do I...?" - Business & Industry

Find Forecast Data on a Country?

TOPIC: When you plan to conduct business in a specific country, you need to investigate the risk of doing business, as well as forecasts of economic stability and economic trends. Several databases on Dialog provide analysis and forecasts of doing business in different countries.

These files include INVESTEXT® PDF Fulltext (File 745), EIU: Country Risk and Forecasts (File 628) and EIU: VIEWSWIRE (File 620). INVESTEXT is an index to company, industry, and geographic research reports written by analysts at more than 600 leading investment banks, brokerage houses and consulting firms worldwide. The reports are particularly useful for market research, strategic planning, competitive analysis, and financial forecasting. VIEWSWIRE (File 620) contains daily briefings on key market developments around the world, timely assessments and forecasts of changing market conditions and the implications for business, including regular country updates, consensus currency, interest and equity forecasts, country forecast summaries, five-year forecast tables and country risk summaries.

In this example we'll use EIU: Country Risk and Forecasts (File 628) to find forecast data for Mexico. File 628 provides insightful analysis of the short- and medium-term economic creditworthiness of over 90 countries and gives a medium-term outlook into economic, political and business trends in 58 countries.

 

COMMAND SUMMARY

BEGIN 628
SELECT FORECAST(2W)SUMMARY/TI AND CN=MEXICO
SELECT S1 AND PY=2007
SET H 80

REPORT S2/TITLES
Follow the REPORT TITLES menu


HOW TO...



1. BEGIN EIU: Country Risk and Forecasts (File 628).

2. SELECT the country name (CN=) and keywords limited to the title (/TI). Use the (2W) proximity connector to retrieve terms with two or less words between them in the order specified.

3. Limit to the year(s) from which you want data. Quarterly entries for each year are available.

4. Use the Set command to set the horizontal width to 80 character, good for displaying tables.

?b 628

File 628:Ctry Risk & Forecasts 2008/Jan 09
       (c) 2008 Economist Intelligence Unit

      Set  Items  Description
      ---  -----  -----------
?s forecast(2w)summary/ti and cn=mexico
          134747  FORECAST/TI
           86971  SUMMARY/TI
           27757  FORECAST/TI(2W)SUMMARY/TI
            9143  CN=MEXICO
      S1     337  FORECAST(2W)SUMMARY/TI AND CN=MEXICO

?s s1 and py=2007
             337  S1
           79779  PY=2007
      S2     144  S1 AND PY=2007

?set h 80
            Characters per line set to 80.



5. Use the REPORT TITLES (e.g., REPORT S#/TITLES) command to gather together all pages in a report.

6. Select the report you want to view, in this example report 1.

?.report s2/titles

    DIALOG(R) ONLINE TABLE OF CONTENTS
              LIST OF REPORT TITLES       

ITEM NUMBER, MAIN TITLE
-------------------------------------------------
1   Country Forecast Mexico December 2007 Updater
    F0628: :Ctry Risk & Forecasts
    December  2007/29 records

2   Country Forecast Mexico September 2007
    F0628: :Ctry Risk & Forecasts
    September 2007/54 records  

3   Country Forecast Mexico August 2007 Updater
    F0628: :Ctry Risk & Forecasts
    August    2007/29 records  

4   Country Forecast Mexico July 2007 Updater
    F0628: :Ctry Risk & Forecasts
    July      2007/29 records  

Enter one item number, P for next page, or EXIT to 
leave TITLES:
?. 1



7. Type C to view the complete table of contents. For longer reports you may want to view section headings first.

8. Review the Table of Contents and select page numbers you want to view.

Note that in this database you pay per page. Each page constitutes a record.

9. Decide whether you want to display the page(s) on screen (D) or have pages emailed to a specific address (E).

Note: Part of the Table of Contents has been omitted from this display.

Enter (S)ection Headings only, (C)omplete table of contents,
        M to return to Main Menu Listing or EXIT to leave TITLES: 
?. c

          DIALOG(R) F0628: :Ctry Risk & Forecasts
                         Table of Contents  

Main Title: Country Forecast Mexico December 2007 Updater
Date:       December  2007
----------------------------------------------------------
Country Forecast Mexico

1   Mexico at a glance: 2008-09; AN=0004374113
2   Country forecast overview: Highlights; AN=0004374114
3   Country forecast overview: Key indicators; SF=TABLE; 
    AN=0004374115
4   Country forecast overview: Business environment rankings; 
    SF=TABLE; AN=0004374116
5   Country forecast overview: Mexico's business environment 
    at a glance; AN=0004374117
6   Fact sheet; SF=TABLE; AN=0004374118
7   Outlook for 2008-09: Domestic politics; AN=0004374119
8   Outlook for 2008-09: International relations; 
    AN=0004374120
9   Outlook for 2008-09: Policy trends; AN=0004374121
10  Outlook for 2008-09: Fiscal policy; AN=0004374122
11  Outlook for 2008-09: Monetary policy; AN=0004374123
12  Outlook for 2008-09: International assumptions; 
    AN=0004374124
13  Outlook for 2008-09: Economic growth; AN=0004374125
14  Outlook for 2008-09: Inflation; AN=0004374126
15  Outlook for 2008-09: Exchange rates; AN=0004374127
16  Outlook for 2008-09: External sector; AN=0004374128
17  Data summary: Global outlook; SF=TABLE; AN=0004374129
 . . . .     

Enter item number(s) (e.g. 1,4,6-10) only, C to repeat 
Table of Contents, M to return to Main Title Listing or 
EXIT to leave TITLES:
?.2

Enter D to display records on your screen. For delivery
        to previously SET ADDRESSes, enter E for email or enter an
        existing alternate address name (e.g., ADSITE2).
        Press (ENTER) to return to menus or EXIT to leave TITLES:

?.d



The page(s) you selected are displayed on the screen.

10. To exit the REPORT TITLES menu and continue searching, enter EXIT.

Note: Part of the record has been omitted from this display.

0004374114

Country forecast overview: Highlights

  Main Report Title:
Country Forecast Mexico December 2007 Updater

  Country:  MEXICO
  Journal:  Country Forecast Mexico
  Document Type: REPORT
  Record Type: FULLTEXT
  Language: ENGLISH  - December 1, 2007
  Word Count: 421

The political stalemate of a year ago has been replaced 
by a proactive new government intent on pushing forward its 
reform agenda. Early in his term  of office, the president, 
Felipe Calderon, has strengthened his mandate  with a series 
of eye-catching initiatives, and has demonstrated good 
negotiating skills that will help his Partido Accion 
Nacional (PAN) pass legislation, despite its minority 
position in Congress. But obstacles to political 
effectiveness remain,including the constant 
politicking created by Mexico's busy electoral calendar.

This means that, with congressional mid-term elections 
due in 2009, the Calderon government has only a narrow 
window of opportunity to pass its most politically sensitive 
reforms (such as energy and labour reforms), while relying 
on support for its legislative programme on an ad hoc basis
from opposition congressmen, whose support is far from 
assured. A good performance for the PAN in 2009 will be 
crucial to maintaining momentum on the legislative agenda 
to the end of the forecast period. The next general 
election will be in 2012.
 
Continued commitment to orthodox fiscal and monetary policy 
will help to consolidate policy credibility and ensure 
macroeconomic stability. Moreover, an open environment for 
foreign trade and investment, and a large and growing 
domestic market will mean Mexico remains an attractive 
destination for foreign direct investment (FDI). However, 
the Economist Intelligence Unit's forecasts assume only 
gradual progress in addressing constraints to competitiveness 
in Mexico, including the high cost of labour and other inputs 

. . . .

(c)  2007 Economist Intelligence Unit

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Stock #: 54827; Last modified: 14 Sep 2011



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