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Find Pharmaceutical Sales and Revenue Forecasts?

TOPIC: INVESTEXT® PDF Fulltext (File 745) is an index to company, industry, and geographic research reports written by analysts at more than 600 leading investment banks, brokerage houses and consulting firms worldwide. Records containing citations to reports are put online as soon as the reports are received by Investext and are available in PDF format; the citation records are updated a few days later with the full Table of Contents.

Investext provides in-depth analysis and data on approximately 60,000 publicly traded companies, including sales and earnings forecasts, market share projections and research and development expenditures. Other Investext reports analyze specific industries/products and businesses in geographic regions. The reports are particularly useful for market research, strategic planning, competitive analysis, and financial forecasting.

TableBase database contains tabular information dealing with companies, products, industries, brands, markets, demographics, and countries from around the world. All records contain a table and the originating textual article when available. The table is the focus of this database. Every table is enhanced with an informative table title and indexing for easy retrieval. Indexing is drawn from File 9, Business & Industry.

In this exercise you will search for a pharmaceutical company in INVESTEXT and look for analysts’ reports covering sales and forecasts in therapeutic areas.

 

COMMAND SUMMARY

BEGIN 745
SELECT SALES AND (FORECAST? OR OUTLOOK OR PROJECTION?)
EXPAND CO=LILLY
SELECT “E” REFERENCE NUMBER(S)
EXPAND CO=ELI LILLY
SELECT “E” REFERENCE NUMBER(S)
SELECT S1 AND S2:S3
SELECT S4 AND (ANTIDEPRESS? OR DEPRESS?)
SELECT S5/2006:2007
TYPE S6/8/1-5
TYPE S6/9/1
Click page link


HOW TO...



1. BEGIN File 745 to search INVESTEX® PDF Fulltext

2. SELECT terms for sales AND concepts related to forecasts OR outlook OR projection.

Be sure to nest synonyms in parentheses when combining with other criteria.

This statement means that every record retrieved must have the term “sales” AND at least one of the terms “forecast” or “outlook” or “projection.” Use truncation with the question mark “?” where appropriate.

Note: In TableBase search for sales and forecasts as descriptors (/DE).


?B 745

File 745:Investext(R) PDF Fltxt 1999--2007/Dec W2
       (c)2007 Thomson Fin. Networks
      Set  Items  Description
      ---  -----  -----------
Characters per line set to 80.

?S SALES AND (FORECAST?  OR OUTLOOK OR PROJECTION?)
          1311501  SALES
           508430  FORECAST?
           250365  OUTLOOK
            42749  PROJECTION?
       S1  151495  SALES AND (FORECAST? OR OUTLOOK OR PROJECTION?)


3. EXPAND on the Company Name (CO=) field.

4. SELECT the appropriate “E” Reference number(s).

5. EXPAND on alternative company names. For companies it is always a good idea to try a variety of names.

6. SELECT the appropriate “E” Reference number(s).


?E CO=LILLY
Ref   Items  Index-term
        E1       35  CO=LILLIAN VERNON CORP.
        E2       17  CO=LILLIBRIDGE TOOL MACHINE CO INC
        E3        0 *CO=LILLY
        E4       32  CO=LILLY (ELI) & CO.
        E5       27  CO=LILLY INDUSTRIAL COATINGS INC
        E6       37  CO=LILLY INDUSTRIES INC.
        E7       20  CO=LILLY SOFTWARE ASSOCIATES, INC.
        E8        3  CO=LILYCOLOR CO., LTD. (TOKYO)
        . . . .

Enter P or PAGE for more

?S   E4
      S2      32  CO='LILLY (ELI) & CO.'

?E CO=ELI LILLY

Ref   Items  Index-term
  E1        7  CO=ELGRANDE INTERNATIONAL INC
  E2        3  CO=ELI ECO LOGIC INC.
  E3        0 *CO=ELI LILLY
  E4     1633  CO=ELI LILLY & CO
  E5       43  CO=ELIA SYSTEM OPERATOR SA
  E6        5  CO=ELIANCE CORP. 
  . . ..

Enter P or PAGE for more

?S   E4
      S3    1633  CO='ELI LILLY & CO'


7. SELECT the results from Set 1 (S1) and the company names from Sets 2 and 3 ORed together. The colon acts as OR.

8. Combine the results of Set 4 (S4) with terms related to a major therapeutic area.

9. LIMIT the search to a specific range of Publication Years (PY=).

Note: In TableBase combine with the Product Code (PC=) number for pharmaceuticals (PC=2834) and Publication Year(s) (PY=).


?S   S1 AND S2:S3
          151495  S1
            1665  S2:S3
      S4      97  S1 AND S2:S3

?S   S4 AND (ANTIDEPRESS? OR  DEPRESS?)
              97  S4
            1245  ANTIDEPRESS?
            4084  DEPRESS?
      S5      26  S4 AND (ANTIDEPRESS? OR DEPRESS?)

?S S5/2006:2007
              26  S5
         1451692  PY=2006 : PY=2007
      S6       5  S5/2006:2007


10. TYPE records in Format 8, which gives Title, Report Number, Pagination, and Company Name and Investext Ticker Symbol.

Notice that the Record Type (RT=) is CONTENTS. This means the record contains a Table of Contents, which provides hyperlinks to specific pages of the report.

To select the appropriate record number, look at the range of records in the TYPE command (e.g., 6/8/2).

Note: Some records have been omitted from this display.


?T S6/8/ALL

  6/8/1 
DIALOG(R)File 745: Investext(R) PDF Fltxt
(c)2007 Thomson Fin. Networks. All rights reserved.

08192941
ELI LILLY & CO

BEAR STEARNS AND CO INC
BORIS, J., ET AL

Date:April 17, 2007
Record Type: CONTENTS
INVESTEXT(tm) Report Number: 12177619  Pages: 13 
Cost: $9.60 per page Full Report $124.80 
This is a(n) Original PDF Company Report. To view PDF reports, 
you will need  Adobe Acrobat Reader 3.0 or higher (available 
free from Adobe) installed on  your computer. 
Company: ELI LILLY & CO

Ticker Symbol: LLY

Investext(R) PDF Index (Dialog(R) File 745): (c)2004 Thomson Fin. 
Networks. All  rights reserved.
. . . .


11. TYPE selected records in Format 9 to display the Table of Contents.

12. Click on the hyperlink to a specific page of interest. Alternatively, an option appears that allows you to hyperlink to the full report. Cost of the full report is determined by the number of pages in the report.


?T S6/9/1

  6/9/1 
DIALOG(R)File 745: Investext(R) PDF Fltxt
(c)2007 Thomson Fin. Networks. All rights reserved.

08192941
ELI LILLY & CO

BEAR STEARNS AND CO INC
BORIS, J., ET AL

Date:April 17, 2007
Record Type: CONTENTS
INVESTEXT(tm) Report Number: 12177619  Pages: 13 
Cost: $9.60 per page Full Report $124.80
This is a(n) Original PDF Company Report. To view PDF reports, 
you will need  Adobe Acrobat Reader 3.0 or higher (available 
free from Adobe) installed on  your computer. 

Section/Table Headings
Pages
TABLE OF CONTENTS Table/Chart: Rating Information 1
Table/Chart: Trading Data 1
Table/Chart: Fundamental Data 1
Graph - Price Performance Chart 1
Highlights 1
Sector View: 1
Table/Chart: Adjusted EPS Estimates Post Option Expense
(dagger)(All values are in USD)
1
Disclaimer 1
Raising EPS Outlook; Reiterate Peer Perform 2
Table/Chart: Exhibit 1. LLY 2007 and Bear Stearns Estimates 2
Balanced Risk/Reward Ahead of Prasugrel Data (Exhibit 2 & 3) 2
Table/Chart: Exhibit 2. Prasugrel 2011 U.S. Revenue
Scenarios and EPS Impact
3
Table/Chart: Exhibit 3. LLY Stock Price as Function of
Prasugrel Scenarios
3
Balanced Risk/Reward Ahead of Prasugrel Data (Exhibit 2 & 3) (CONT) 3

Pharmaceutical Sales Almost $200M Above Our Estimate;
+7% Volume Growth (see Exhibit 4)

3
Table/Chart: Exhibit 4. LLY Components of 1Q07 Revenue Growth 3
Table/Chart: Exhibit 5. LLY Product Revenue Variance Analysis 4
Zyprexa-Continued Disconnect Between Reported Sales & TRx +
Price (Exhibits 6, 7, 8, 9& 10)
4
Table/Chart: Exhibit 6. Estimated Components of U.S. Zyprexa
Revenue Growth in 4Q06 and 1Q07
5
Graph - Exhibit 7. Weekly Zyprexa Total Prescriptions (TRx)
and New Prescriptions (NRx) in the U.S.
5
Zyprexa-Continued Disconnect Between Reported Sales & TRx +
Price (Exhibits 6, 7, 8, 9& 10) (CONT)
5
Table/Chart: Exhibit 8. Estimated Components of Ex-U.S.
Zyprexa Revenue Growth in 4Q06 and FY2006
6
Graph - Exhibit 9. Reported Zyprexa International Sales 6
Table/Chart: Exhibit 10. U.S. Antipsychotic Market Model 7

Cymbalta Reacceleration Continues-Initiatives for
Depression and DPNP (Exhibit 11 & 12)

8

Graph - Exhibit 11. Antidepressant Monthly Total Prescription
(TRx) Market Share

8
Table/Chart: Exhibit 12. U.S. Antidepressant Market Model 9
Other In-Line Products 10
Graph - Exhibit 13. Fast Acting Insulin NRx Share In The
US Market
10

Pipeline Update

11
Income Statement Analysis 11
Table/Chart: Exhibit 14. LLY 1Q07 Income Statement and Margin Analysis 11
Table/Chart: Eli Lilly Quarterly Income Statement 12
Disclaimer 12
Analyst Certification 12
Companies Analyzed 13
Graph - Stock Price Chart Eli Lilly 13
Report Key 13
Disclosure (No charge for this page) 14
Company: ELI LILLY & CO

Ticker Symbol: LLY

Investext(R) PDF Index (Dialog® File 745):
(c)2004 Thomson Fin. Networks. All  rights reserved.

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Stock #: 54320; Last modified: 14 Sep 2011



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